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The Default Continuity Planning Fallacy

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September 08, 2026

Planning processes often assume that current conditions will persist through the planning horizon. The default continuity planning fallacy describes this systematic underweighting of discontinuity risk. The professional who questions continuity assumptions builds plans that survive disruption rather than plans that assume its absence.

The fallacy is embedded in standard planning practice. Revenue projections extrapolate current trends. Resource plans assume stable team composition. Strategic initiatives assume stable market conditions. Each assumption is convenient but fragile. When conditions shift, plans built on continuity assumptions collapse simultaneously.

Questioning continuity requires explicitly examining what could change and how plans would adapt. For those navigating career growth in uncertain economies, discontinuity planning distinguishes those who adapt to change from those who are surprised by it. Our planning framework provides questioning approaches.

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